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Growth, Inflation and energy: Three Challenges From Mexico

July 2nd, 2010 Admin2 No comments

Editor’s Note: Today we go to Mexico, where there is disinvestment in the energy sector, oil production falls, and the international price increases. Horacio we recommend a company as well. I can send comments to: paola @ moneyweekes. com
Growth, Inflation and Energy: The Three Challenges of Mexico
Buenos Aries, Argentina
April 10, 2008
Continue the earthquake in the U.S. economy. Therefore, in circumstances how are you, the farther the epicenter may be one of the better. Unfortunately this is not the case of Mexico, which has a closeness to the U.S.. UU. both territorial linkage between economies. But is not the only problem facing the Mexican economy. There are two topics of concern to the government of Calderón.
That is why the relevant issues in Mexico today pass through three sources: the resolution of the energy problem with the depletion of oil reserves, the evolution of inflation and the degree of impact of the crisis in the U.S.. UU. that deepens every day.
The problems of the energy sector in Mexico can be analyzed from two fronts, though they have a common cause is the lack of investment in the Mexican oil sector. On the one hand, this lack of investment is affecting the main source of revenue for the country and, moreover, has led to the need to import 40% of the gasoline consumed in the country, as well as natural gas. Oil production has fallen 12% from its peak of 3.4 million barrels a day recorded in 2004, and just happening at the moment where the price of oil is reaching record highs (last chance, exceeded $ 112 a barrel for WTI).
That is why we are discussing in Mexico how to overcome the current situation, which has generated much controversy over the threat of a possible privatization of Pemex, although this alternative has already been rejected by Mexican President Felipe Calderon. These days it presented a bill intended to Pemex have more autonomy in managing the budget to reinvest their surpluses and give the company greater powers of administration, recruitment will enable greater access to technology and multiply your project implementation capacity and in order to increase the level of reserves and the ability of oil extraction and refining. Pemex needs to explore oil deposits in deeper waters, where preliminary seismic assessments indicate that there were about 30. 000 million barrels of oil.
The main oilfield, Cantarell, which was discovered in 1971 in the waters of the Gulf of Mexico, is currently in a worrying decline, which has generated great concern. According to Calderon: “We must act now because time and oil is running out.”
The problem of inflation remains dormant and remain concerned because the retail inflation data in March reached 0.72% (0.50% of the underlying). If the market kept a low illusion of a possible rate cut by the Central Bank of Mexico, then this information, and no longer a possibility. The truth is that this information hands and feet tied to the monetary authority to conduct an expansionary monetary policy if necessary if the effects of subprime crisis in the U.S.. UU. turned out to be higher than expected. For now, the value of the peso was relatively stable against the dollar, which is good news in terms of competitiveness of Mexican firms.
Speaking of economic growth for Merrill Lynch, the effect of subprime crisis on the Mexican economy this year will mean that it only reaches its GDP growth of around 2.2%, since Mexico is one of Latin America most affected by the crisis. For ECLAC, a little more generous, Mexico will grow by 2.7%
From my point of view, and as I stated earlier, I understand that Mexico’s domestic demand may help to partially offset the damage caused by the weakness of Mexico’s main trading partner, so that the fall in output growth should not be of the magnitude that provides Merrill Lynch (needless to say that it is wrong for your bet to the subprime market and it is likely that the April 17 when submitting their quarterly accounts, settling further depreciation of U.S. $ 6. 500 000 000 would add more than U.S. $ 24. 500 million already made. For this reason it would not be strange that mistake again, this time with the projections of Mexico). Moreover, the Mexican authorities that growth will slow sharply, as demonstrated by the 10 measures implemented several weeks ago to address the effects of the U.S. economic slowdown.
Speaking of Mexican companies, one of them has had a good performance during the first quarter of 2008 and is Wal-Mart de Mexico (BMV: WALMEXV), who on Tuesday presented its financial results.
To Eduardo Solorzano, President and Chief Executive Officer of Wal-Mart de Mexico: “The good results obtained during this quarter are given in an environment of low consumption. I emphasize that we continue to see a very positive trend in terms of growth in customer numbers, 6.6% in constant dollars, this reflects the level of loyalty and trust of our customers. I would likewise point out the performance overheads, which despite the additional costs associated with Wal-Mart Bank, grew 12% while sales did in 14% (8% in constant currency), allowing that both operating income and EBITDA (EBITDA) increased 17%. ”
The outlook for this year are good for Wal-mart in Mexico despite the possible impact of the subprime crisis in the U.S.. UU. In its plan for 2008 is planned to open 205 bank units and 33 modules, with an investment of about U.S. $ 1. 200 million also include the creation of 21. 000 jobs. With this investment decision, Wal-Mart de Mexico showed that sees the domestic market with great potential for growth in the coming years.
We will meet again tomorrow,
Horacio Pozzo
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Postman and Saved came to Wall Street

May 18th, 2010 Admin2 No comments

The postman came and saved Wall Street

Buenos Aires, March 2009 Argentina11

Glorious day yesterday for the U.S. markets, and after losing more than 20% in the last four weeks, the indexes returned to party like they did not since last November. The S & P 500 climbed 719.60 points, a variation of 6.4%, the Dow Jones ended at 6926.49, a rise of 5.8% and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 7.1% to 1. 358 points. The financial sector ended with hikes of 20% average. Europe flew yesterday in unison with an average 5% rise but enthusiasm plots yield, since this morning operated with mixed results. The market seized three news to explain the rise: first, the Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke called for a greater and deeper financial market regulation for the second, Barney Frank, Chairman of the Committee on Financial Services of the House of Representatives U.S., said the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) could be to replace the “uptick Rule” (rule that only you can take a bearish position or short-sell if the share price last-tick-is superior as above), and third, filtering the contents of a letter. The letter was CEO of Citigroup (NYSE: C), Vikram Pandit, aimed at employees of Citi, and she said the bank had profits in first two months of 2009 and so far the first quarter results have been the best since the last time that Citi had net earnings in the third quarter of 2007. He added that the current value of the bank’s shares does not reflect the soundness of the capital base of Citi. This information is officially made public only on April 17, but Citi’s shares rose 38% to U.S. $ 1.45 at the close, continuing the rise in the after-market last night, reaching U.S. $ 1.58 per share A further 12% increase to the rise of the day. The bank had suffered losses coming in five consecutive quarters, including $ 8. 290 million in the last of 2008. In late February, Citigroup and the U.S. government agreed to a share of the latter on the bank of 36% after the injection of $ 45. 000 million. And if they need more funds, the U.S. government is willing to give them. Citi today is like the guy who lost the apple and you get another mother. Pandit said yesterday, for those who can read and understand: “there is still a month to complete the quarter and market volatility may affect the results.” Reuters says a cable: “The advance of financial stocks marks an improvement in investor confidence after the sector was recently hurt by increasing credit losses in the banks.”

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But. . . What Wall Street yesterday that celebrated? What Citi has dropped to a level of penny stock and last week traded at $ 0.97, their lowest point ever? What has been profitable because it has received injections of money at zero cost? What did not lose more money, even having received fresh funds? What common stock shareholders will have limited participation by 26% if the U.S. government and other private investors to transform the maximum of preferred shares in common? What Pandit warned that volatility in March could hit results? What Citi shares fell 93% in the last six months? What Citi will emerge from now on over the deep recession that hangs over the U.S. and the world and its financial institutions by Endesa? What if the losses banking industry intensifies, the U.S. government should nationalize more entities to the force, with the capital they need? Does anyone explain me? Ed Yardeni try a more near-religious faith that the market logic: “We poor investors do not need too much to rejoice, we have been so severely beaten,” he says hopefully. “At this point, we’ll take what we can,” is formed. “Those who invested based on what they said These managers in the last 12 months probably lost all his money. There is a credibility issue,” he told Reuters David Williams, analyst at Fox-Pitt Kelton. “The share price one dollar means that the market has stopped listening.” It is very dangerous what happened yesterday. A simple letter to employees of a bank in anticipation of good results, so far only-bi, but have not yet been reflected in the quarterly results will be given in less than a month that will come the real final expenditure incurred by the entity. The market study should celebrate before the quarterly results that can demonstrate that the U.S. government can close the stream of funding to the bank. There is no reason for celebration, nor for a cat that bounced because it still died. Yesterday’s seems to have been a run of sold at what the market could take a breath, the letter from Citi. Only further improvement and support around the level of 740-750 points for the S & P 500 return achieved on both life and in the meantime, the downward acceleration continues. Until tomorrow, and watch out for the postman. . . “The Postman Always Rings Twice?

Latinforme Journal

www. latinforme. with

 

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Where Investment Securities Practice?

May 3rd, 2010 Admin2 Comments off

Penny Stock Picks – How to Pick the Best

April 23rd, 2010 No comments

When it comes to penny stock picks and choosing the best one, there are quite a number of things to consider. First off, every trader has to understand that there is no guaranteed success rate when it comes to penny stock trading. This means that there is no way of saying for certain that the penny stock you have decided to invest in would actually provide you with any returns. With that said, it should also be said that whilst there are no guarantees in the business, there are also ways of increasing your chances at making a profit by picking penny stocks that are bound to provide you with a significant return on your investment.

What are Penny Stock Picks?

These are basically the picks that are at the top of the listing when it comes to penny stocks. Typically, these kinds of stocks are not listed on the various stock exchanges such as the NYSE and the AMEX. This is because, most of the time, penny stocks are traded in an OTC or over-the-counter fashion or through pink sheets. Despite the fact that they can be pretty risky, these kinds of stocks are still pretty popular among various speculators. This is because these stocks have the unique ability of turning a relatively small investment into a significant fortune. However, do keep in mind that volatility, low visibility, dilution and stock hype as some of the major drawbacks related to the trading penny stocks.

Now, finding the best penny stocks can be tricky. But through the help of a professional stock broker, the information provided by the various penny stock newsletters and the trader’s own instinct, one can become quite successful in picking the most profitable penny stocks available. Do keep in mind that at any given time, there could be a lot of penny stocks available and choosing the best can be quite a challenging task to do if you were to do it without any assistance.

Choosing the Best Penny Stock Picks

In order to find the best, much research and studying is of the utmost importance. In fact, ask any experienced trader and they would inform you that the only way to get ahead of this business is by continuously increasing your knowledge. Regardless of how you do your research, whether you choose to do it by yourself or not, it is undeniable that in order to make a profit from penny stocks, much research is required. Next, you should also be constantly analyzing and monitoring stocks so that you wouldn’t miss a beat when it comes to the profitable ones. But here’s the thing, not everyone has the time nor the energy to be doing these things. What can be done then? Well, you can always subscribe to various agencies that would keep you up to date. But even then, you would still need to analyze the information you are sent.

So there you have it, just some of the important things that every trader must keep in mind when it comes to searching for the best and most profitable penny stock available.

Penny Stocks List – What Every Trader Needs to Know

April 18th, 2010 Admin2 No comments

Why do you need penny stocks list? Well, if you want some kind of link to the penny stocks that are worth investing in, you would need to make use of such a list. However, as you may or may not already know, finding a reliable list can be quite the challenge. Surely, you have seen all sorts of advertisements online that talk of “free lists” or ones that you can buy on the cheap but most of the time, these lists are not worthy of your time or money.

Now, before looking at online penny stocks list, you have to always remember that when it comes to trading penny stocks, there is no such thing as a guaranteed deal. Basically, you can never be sure about anything and this is why it is considered to be a very risky business. However, there are certain things that you can do in order to reduce these risks. The first of which would be to take advantage of the above mentioned list and benefit from the great tips that you can get from it instead of wandering aimlessly through an endless sea of stocks that are available for your current venture.

Things to Consider:

One of the most important things to consider when it comes to choosing penny stocks list would be its source. Basically, you have to make sure that you’re getting information from a source that’s reliable; otherwise, it would defeat the whole purpose of using the list to find stocks that are worth investing in. As we have mentioned earlier, there are a bunch of free lists that are posted everywhere online. However, the majority of these lists are provided by people who know nothing about how penny shares work and more often than not, contain information that is dated and pretty much useless when it comes to current trades. What you need to do is find a reputable online source that would send you daily updates of all the top picks which you can filter through and find ones that you could add to your list of penny stocks.

Again, the importance of research cannot be overemphasized. It is important that you do this whilst you are building your own penny shares list instead of just depending on the words of various trade experts. However, the information that you need can be scarce and its reliability is often a bit shady. It can be quite difficult to source information regarding various penny stock companies such as the products they offer and the company’s CEO. In more recent months, there are companies who have tried to provide a solution for this by publishing company pink sheets which are available online. However, the available information can still be limited.

So, is buying a list of penny stocks better than creating your own? Well, it would be easier but it certainly is not better. Creating your own list, in itself, is a learning process and in this business, you have to learn as much as you can in order to really achieve the kind of success that most traders dream of. Nothing could be gained from doing things the easy way. If you’re serious about trading then you should put in the effort, time and work that is needed.

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Forex: Benefits Over Other Financial Markets

March 28th, 2010 Admin2 No comments

In recent years the spot market Forex (foreign exchange market) has grown over 60% and now represents the largest financial market in the world in terms of volume. Many of the traders of stocks, futures and stock market have moved to or combined Forex trading in the foreign exchange market trading in other financial markets. Trading the Forex market has some advantages over other markets due to its operation fund it, and liquidity characteristics. In this article I will describe the advantages of the Forex market versus other markets. 1 – Operating 24 hours díaEl forex market remains open 24 hours a day. When we become a centralized market, foreign exchange transactions are conducted throughout the day, from Japan to the United States through Europe, the currency market does not stop. This allows a flexible schedule that does not exist in other financial markets and what is best, you can always react to the news as a forex trader last minute. Furthermore, by not closing, your operations are not affected by reports of losses or gains posted after the close of session, as in the bag, because there are no closures or openings (except weekends) allowing control better risk for longer term trading. 2 – Mayor liquidezEl Negació in Forex daily volume is about 50 times higher than the NYSE. Because of this large volume is highly unlikely not to find a partner for your operations. Due to low trading volume, investors in the stock market and other exchange-traded markets are more vulnerable to liquidity risk, resulting in a higher spread or price changes more marked in response to any relatively large transaction. 3 – Forex ApalancamientoEn leverage ranges from 100:1 to 400:1 against the typical even 2:1 stock, this transaction allows 100 to 400 times greater than the actual capital available to increase the earnings potential dramatically compared to markets stock and futures in which the most common leverage is 2:1. 4 – Capital of minimal risk on forex market there are brokers who can open an account even with a dollar. Needless to say the least risk capital is actually less than that necessary to deal in securities. On average, the minimum capital investment is 300 USD. For the foreign exchange market na requires less capital risk than other markets. 5 – high liquidity operations especializadasLa international currency market allows us to specialize in one product. For example you can specialize in the pound and its exchange rate against the U.S. dóalr and to monitor progress effectively. 6 – Transaction costs bajosEl Currency Market is considered one of the financial markets with lower operating costs. Most brokers charge based on the following two schemes: Spread – Brokers charge a different price for buying and selling operations, this difference is that the broker is. Spread and Commissions – Most brokers charge a commission this scheme, but usually the spread is very small, even while transaction costs may be lower than the brokers that charge only spread. 7 – As the profit potential in both bullish and bearish markets all open forex position, an investor has a long position in one currency and short in another (later explirare you get in depth that is long or short a currency). A short position is one in which the trader sells currency before it will depreciate. In this case, the investor benefits from a drop in market price. 8 – Operating from where seaEl transactions that have no physical place where all happen, we can make transactions anywhere in the world. We just need an Internet connection where we can have access to the Broker

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The 9 Most Common Mistakes when buying penny stocks

March 24th, 2010 Admin2 No comments

Now I will list the 9 most common mistakes committed by Inverosres in Wall Street.

1) The price issue

Always know that the penny stock price rises because there are substantive reasons supporting that growth.  Also when it drops is because it is multifactorial. When buying a particular stock and the price begins to fall, one of the most common mistakes that investors make is to think that because they are cheap at that time they should buy more to average out the cost.

2) Consider the situation and never the name of the company

It may happen that we feel attracted to a particular company. Either because we like their prodcutos or for any other reason, but sometimes we get away from the most important thing which is the current situation the company is going through.

3) Always decide based on strategies and not on emotions

Normally our emotions are at stake when we talk about the stock market. Obviously it is understandable that an investor feels scared or either really excited to get a fairly attractive yield. But you need to know that being carried away by emotions can completely destroy your portfolio.  Remember to leave that moment to buy and not be swayed by emotions.

4) Invest in shares, but not only benefit from the dividends

There are many investors who only take into account whether the company pays good dividends and ignore if it is a strong candidate for successful growth. The dividends of a company are calculated taking into account the amount of money the company gave the investor as a dividend per share over the last year and divided by the market stock price. CompanyX for example giving 3. 5 in dividends during the past year and the share price is 25, then its dividend yield would be: (2.5 / 25) = 0.1%.  The problem arises when we want to maintain a stock which is down just because of their receivable dividends.  You can reach the low point that the stock is higher than the revenue we get for the dividens and if so we dont cover those losses.

5) Always Diversify your Portfolio

It is still common to see portfolios without diversification. Many people still believe in the idea of becoming a millionaire by investing all their money into one sector. The penny stock market will not work well that way. Whenever you are going to invest you have to diversify your portfolio, which means buying penny stocks from companies that belong to different sectors. Another important aspect to consider is to distribute the money with different strategies, from the more aggressive to the more conservative.

6) Do not take the financial news as entry points

Whenever they appear on TV financial news, you tend to study more the company to invest. The problem is that all these news have already happened and one is buying the shares once the opportunity has already occurred. The opportunity does not become news. Therefore it is desirable to have the economic calendar and financial news only as supplements for investment.

7) The buy and hold strategy is not always convenient

One buys a penny stock to sell at some point, not to die with it. Many people confuse buy and hold strategy, as they believe the stock will end up sooner or later and that is not always the case. Before buying a penny stock it is important to make a study to estimate the time to buy and not hold indefinitely without knowing what to do, hoping the rise at some point.

8) Always have a method of investment

This is one of the most common mistakes among investors. Many people is influenced by advice from friends, television news, etc. This is one of the mistakes that can lead to bankruptcy faster, since it is necessary that one acquires a habit of investing, learn to read cotables states and to evaluate whether a stock is attractive or not. Having an investment method approach we know when to buy, how and where.